NFL Draft 2023 Five QBs could be first-round picks takeaways from the four other times it happened

NFL Draft 2023 Five QBs could be first-round picks takeaways from the four other times it happened

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The began in 1936, and since then, there have only been four instances in which five different quarterbacks came off the board in the first round. All four occasions, however, have come in the past 40 years, and two have come in the last five years alone. The 2023 cla s is now shaping up to be the fifth, according to former general manager Rick Spielman. Previewing this year's draft on CBS Sports' , Spielman and draft expert Ryan Wilson believe there's a drastic drop-off between , a consensus top-five QB prospect, and the logical post-Round 1 options. While Hooker is already 25 and coming off injury, he's become an , alongside Alabama's Bryce Young, Ohio State's C.J. Stroud, Florida's Anthony Richardson and Kentucky's Will Levis. Let's suppose, for a moment, that all five do become first-round picks on April 27. It's certainly not an unreasonable expectation, with potentially in search of help under center. What can the other abundant QB cla ses teach us about 2023's anticipated crop? Let's review those historic drafts, plus explore some takeaways: elow PickQBTeamCollege1 Clemson 2 BYU 3* NDSU 11* Ohio State 15 Alabama PickQBTeamCollege1 Oklahoma 3* Jets USC 7* Josh Allen Wyoming 10* UCLA 32* Lamar Jackson Louisville PickQBTeamCollege1 Tim Couch Browns Kentucky 2 Donovan McNabb Andrei Mironov Kids Jersey Syracuse 3 Akili Smith Oregon 11* Daunte Culpepper Vikings UCF 12* Cade McNown Bears UCLA PickQBTeamCollege1 John Elway Stanford 7 Todd Blackledge Penn State 14* Jim Kelly Bills Miami 15 Tony Eason Patriots Illinois 24 Ken O'Brien Jets UC Davis 27 Dan Marino Pittsburgh Pick Six Newsletter Crafted By The Best NFL Experts Get the day's big stories + fun stuff you love like mock drafts, picks and power rankings. I agree to receive the "Pick Six Newsletter" and marketing communications, updates, special offers (including partner offers), and other information from CBS Sports and the Paramount family of companies. By pre sing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the and acknowledge Paramount's . Please check the opt-in box to acknowledge that you would like to subscribe. Thanks for signing up! Keep an eye on your inbox. Sorry! There was an error proce sing your subscription. Strictly considering this sample size of first-round QB cla ses, here are the logical conclusions we can draw: 1. Multiple QB picks will likely be acquired via trade All four of the five-QB cla ses featured at least one pick that didn't belong to its original team, and three of the four -- as well as each of the last two -- featured multiple traded picks. Here's a summary of those trades: 2021: 49ers traded with Dolphins (No. 12 to No. 3 for Trey Lance)2021: Bears traded with (No. 20 to No. 11 for Justin Fields)2018: Jets traded with Colts (No. 6 to No. 3 for Sam Darnold)2018: Bills traded with (No. 12 to No. 7 for Josh Allen)2018: Ravens traded with Eagles (No. 52 to No. 32 for Lamar Jackson)1999: Vikings traded with Washington (acquiring No. 11 for Daunte Culpepper)1999: Bears traded with Washington (No. 7 to No. 12 for Cade McNown)1983: Bills traded with Browns (acquiring No. 14 for Jim Kelly)The top pick in the 1983 draft, future Hall of Famer John Elway, could also be included with an asterisk here; refusing to play for the Colts, who relocated from Baltimore to Indianapolis a year later, Elway was traded to the days after the draft. All that said, odds are multiple teams destined to land a 2023 QB will move around to do so -- and likely upward. The Panthers have already all but guaranteed we'll get one QB-pick trade this year, acquiring the No. Andrew Hammond Kids Jersey 1 selection from the Bears. But history suggests they won't be alone: all but one of the trades listed above was a move to earlier in the first round, with the lone exception being the Bears' deal that netted McNown. Three of the last four trades that netted first-round QBs, meanwhile, involved moves inside the top 10. We're bound to see another this month.2. Veteran QBs won't stop a team from trading upWe tend to overvalue veteran QBs who aren't among the NFL's few "untouchable" stars at the position, underrating the po sibility that a team with an established starter will spend premium resources on a potential replacement.In Dec. 2020, le s than a year after Jimmy Garoppolo led the 49ers to a Super Bowl appearance, coach Kyle Shanahan endorsed the vet as his starter for the coming season. Three months later, with Garoppolo secured on a $137.5 million contract, the 49ers traded up for the pick that netted them Lance.In 2017, Ravens coach John Harbaugh urged fans to former Super Bowl-winning QB Joe Flacco, who was under contract for another four years at the time. Months later, in 2018, Baltimore moved back into the first round for Jackson.In 1998, the Vikings got a career year from Randall Cunningham, who threw 34 touchdowns and led a 15-1 finish, as well as a trip to the NFC Championship Game. They also employed respected vet Brad Johnson as the No. 2. Months later, they dealt Johnson for the No. 11 pick that landed Culpepper.These are but a few examples of a tried-and-true reality: it doesn't matter how much a team is paying its current starter, or how much it celebrates said QB publicly. If there's a real path to an upgrade and/or a higher-upside long-term option, it will be explored.Just because we have obvious rebuilding suitors for top QBs this year (i.e. the Panthers, Texans) doesn't mean we should discount more "stable" franchises like the Seahawks (current starter: Geno Smith), Lions (Jared Goff), Falcons (Desmond Ridder), Titans (Ryan Tannehill), Commanders (Sam Howell), Buccaneers (Baker Mayfield) and Vikings (Kirk Cousins) from also pursuing a splashy addition at the position. 3. At least one QB pick will become an MVP type If you wanna stretch it even further, you might even say "borderline Hall of Famer." Now this might not seem surprising considering there are five different QBs in each example; you'd hope that one of them hits! But to set your franchise back a half-decade when spending a Day 1 pick on a signal-caller. Yet every one of our five-QB cla ses has produced one, if not multiple, MVP winners or candidates -- both official and otherwise. The 1983 cla s, widely known for its unprecedented output of star QBs, is the outlier: Elway didn't benefit the team that drafted him, but he retired as an all-time great after 16 seasons and two titles with Denver; Kelly secured his own Hall of Fame induction with four Super Bowl appearances over 11 seasons; and Marino owned the record books while guiding 10 playoff appearances as the face of the Dolphins. But the other cla ses have also produced their own icons: McNabb (1999) is still the most accomplished QB in Eagles history, Culpepper (1999) briefly shined for the Vikings, and both Allen (2018) and Jackson (2018) are among today's most dynamic dual threats. As for the most recent crop, 2021, Lawrence is in Jacksonville, and Fields has flashed elite traits despite a poor setup in Chicago, while the jury is still out on both Mac Jones and Trey Lance. All in all, it's safe to anticipate at least one of this year's top prospects will prove well worth the investment. Teams had just better be sure they' Mark Barberio Jersey re picking the right one, or supporting whichever QB they take, because ... 4. Multiple QB picks will be total misfires If not immediately, then over time. This is the unfortunate reality of using a first-round pick on a QB -- or any position, for that matter. Prospects are just that -- prospects. And time and again, even the most hyped products of fail to take off at the pro level, for a multitude of reasons. The more QBs that go early, then, the more likely you are to end up with a dud. Every single cla s offers evidence: Two years into his career, Wilson (2021) is already being replaced in New York -- and by a nearly 40-year-old , no le s. Lance (2021) is a total unknown, playing just eight games in his first two seasons. Fields (2021), while electric on the ground, is still unproven as a pa ser. And Jones (2021) is trending downward after an injury- and turnover-riddled sophomore campaign in New England. Mayfield (2018) brought moxie to Cleveland but lasted just four seasons, totaling 83 turnovers in 60 games. Darnold (2018) fell victim to a haple s Jets supporting cast and was traded three years in. And Rosen (2018) made it just one year in Arizona, folding behind a porous line. Couch (1999) played a single full season for Cleveland, throwing 67 picks in 62 games. Smith (1999) threw five career touchdowns and was out of the league after four years. And McNown (1999) made just 15 starts in two years. Even in the vaunted cla s of 1983, Blackledge spent most of his Chiefs career coming off the bench. Both Eason and O'Brien had high points, but the former suffered a lopsided Super Bowl lo s and started just 49 games in New England, while O'Brien finished with a 50-59-1 mark as the Jets' QB1. Poor circumstances are a steady factor in all of the disappointing first-round QB picks here. So if you're a team hoping to avoid the next Day 1 bust, you'd be wise to ensure you're affording your top pick at least competent protection and weapons. Easier said than done, sure, but vital nonethele s.
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